Welcome to this week’s Intelligence Brief… on Tuesday and Wednesday, a series of explosions involving pagers and walkie-talkies used by members of Hezbollah rocked Lebanon and Syria. In our analysis of the unprecedented series of attacks, we’ll be looking at 1) what we know about the blasts, which are believed to be linked to Israel, 2) what Lebanese authorities and U.S. officials have said about the attacks, and 3) the renewed concerns the attacks raise regarding fears of further escalation of conflict in the Middle East.
Quote of the Week
“The developments today mark an extremely concerning escalation in what is an already unacceptably volatile context.”
– Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, U.N. special coordinator for Lebanon
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But right now, it’s time to examine the recent pager explosions in the Middle East, which have reignited concerns about further escalation in the region.
Blasts Rock Lebanon and Syria in Suspected Israeli Attack
Explosive attacks rocked Lebanon and Syria this week in a series of incidents that targeted members of Hezbollah and left at least a dozen individuals dead and more than 2,800 injured.
The attacks, which are widely believed to have been a military operation carried out by Israel, involved the simultaneous explosions of pagers earlier this week, followed by similar incidents on Wednesday involving walkie-talkies.
The coordinated explosive attacks have heightened concerns about escalation between Hezbollah, a Shiite militant group backed by Iran that boasts significant power in Lebanon, and its enemies in Israel.
Officials in Lebanon say that Israel was behind the attacks, which targeted pagers and other devices after members of Hezbollah ceased using cell phones over concerns that they could be used to track their operations.
Explosive Pagers and Walkie-Talkies
On Tuesday, it was reported that at least several hundred pagers in use by members of Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria simultaneously exploded, wounding several thousand and killing at least a dozen individuals, two of whom were reportedly children.
Tuesday’s wave of blasts was followed by similar attacks on Wednesday involving walkie-talkies, resulting in another 20 deaths and more than 450 injuries. Wednesday’s attacks occurred during a funeral for the victims of the pager attacks on Tuesday, and both incidents have stoked concerns about the potential for further escalation between Hezbollah and Israel.
Although Lebanese officials have attributed the attacks to Israel, during a press conference on Tuesday, Major General Pat Ryder declined to comment on the attacks, saying only that Pentagon officials “strongly believe that the best way to reduce the tensions along the Israel-Lebanon border is through diplomacy, and that will continue to be our focus.”
Inside Sources Reveal More
While the Pentagon has not provided information it has received from Israel about the attacks, on Wednesday, U.S. officials with knowledge of the situation who spoke anonymously with various media outlets, including the Associated Press, seemingly confirmed that Israel had briefed the U.S. about the operation that led to the explosions for two consecutive days.
Many of the explosions occurred in public areas that included stores and cafes, leading to injury and death among civilians, including health workers and other non-combatants, some of whom were linked to Hezbollah’s civilian operations.
The deaths and injuries sustained by civilians have prompted calls for an independent investigation. Currently, the U.N. plans to hold an emergency meeting to examine this week’s events while also planning for the potential of further conflict in the region.
Prior to the events of this week, Iran-backed Hezbollah militants have engaged in exchanges of fire with Israeli forces along the Lebanese-Israeli border on an almost daily basis. The ongoing incidents have reportedly prompted Israel to increase its military operations against Hezbollah in the region.
Potential for Further Military Action
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant praised those recent military efforts, characterizing the IDF’s operations as the beginning of a new phase in the conflict.
Speaking on Tuesday at the Pentagon, Pat Ryder said the U.S. is not aware of any plans Israel may have for military activity on the ground.
“As far as any potential Israeli military operations, I’m not tracking anything in terms of ground incursions at the moment,” Ryder said, “But I’d refer you to the [Israeli Defense Force] to talk about their operations.”
That concludes this week’s installment of The Intelligence Brief. You can read past editions of The Intelligence Brief at our website, or if you found this installment online, don’t forget to subscribe and get future email editions from us here. Also, if you have a tip or other information you’d like to send along directly to me, you can email me at micah [@] thedebrief [dot] org, or Tweet at me @MicahHanks.
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